Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 48.1% vs Backes 54.2% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 83.2%
Defensive zone
Backes 66.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 61.0%
Result
David Backes favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Richardson
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Richardson
Backes
Last 6: Richardson 4-2 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Richardson
Backes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Backes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
0
Richardson
Backes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (437)
54.5% (822)
-5.1%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
58.9% (141)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (134)
51.5% (167)
-9.0%
On power play, Backes has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Richardson is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Richardson shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Richardson
Backes
Home
45.9% (270)
55.3% (524)
Away
49.4% (308)
54.0% (606)
By Period
Richardson
Backes
P1
45.9%
53.2%
P2
46.5%
54.2%
P3
51.3%
57.1%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.4%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
47.8%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |