Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.9% vs Backes 50.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Soderberg leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 70.4%
Defensive zone
Backes 55.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 62.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Soderberg
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Soderberg
Backes
Last 10: Soderberg 6-4 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
6
4
Soderberg
Backes
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
5
1
Soderberg
Backes
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
3
Soderberg
Backes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (4,444)
51.1% (5,772)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.1% (424)
50.8% (1,082)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (601)
47.4% (930)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Soderberg is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,078).
Soderberg shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Backes
Home
50.2% (2,703)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
45.6% (2,766)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Soderberg
Backes
P1
47.4%
50.1%
P2
48.2%
51.5%
P3
48.1%
50.8%
OT
46.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 22, 2016 | OT | 04:22 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 22, 2016 | OT | 03:02 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | David Backes |