Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.9% vs Backes 54.2% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 71.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 74.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 74.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Coyle
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Coyle
Backes
Last 5: Coyle 1-4 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Backes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Coyle
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Coyle
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (663)
54.5% (822)
-7.9%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
58.9% (141)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
90.0% (10)
51.5% (167)
+38.5%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Coyle is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Coyle shoots right. Backes is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Coyle
Backes
Home
50.4% (367)
55.3% (524)
Away
42.5% (351)
54.0% (606)
By Period
Coyle
Backes
P1
46.8%
53.2%
P2
47.9%
54.2%
P3
45.9%
57.1%
OT
14.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.8%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |