Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eakin wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 48.8% vs Backes 52.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 57.3%
Defensive zone
Backes 63.5%
Neutral zone
Backes 60.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Eakin
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Eakin
Backes
Last 8: Eakin 5-3 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
3
1
Eakin
Backes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
1
0
Eakin
Backes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
2
Eakin
Backes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (493)
54.4% (726)
-4.1%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
47.8% (92)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (91)
40.4% (94)
-5.2%
On power play, Eakin has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Eakin is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (213).
Eakin shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Eakin
Backes
Home
49.9% (343)
50.8% (447)
Away
47.0% (283)
53.8% (465)
By Period
Eakin
Backes
P1
51.1%
51.8%
P2
46.7%
53.2%
P3
48.0%
52.8%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.5%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
48.6%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | David Backes |