Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Roy 47.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 54.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 82.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 72.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Backes
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Backes
Roy
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
5
Backes
Roy
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
0
Backes
Roy
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
46.4% (3,031)
+4.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
53.6% (560)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
46.8% (267)
+0.6%
On even strength, Backes has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Home / Away
Backes
Roy
Home
50.6% (3,936)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Backes
Roy
P1
50.1%
47.6%
P2
51.5%
46.2%
P3
50.8%
48.5%
OT
42.9%
43.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | David Backes |