Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 44.9% vs Brassard 47.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 62.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 65.1%
Neutral zone
Backes 54.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Backes
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Backes
Brassard
Last 7: Backes 2-5 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
2
Backes
Brassard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
2
Backes
Brassard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
1
Backes
Brassard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (819)
45.2% (739)
+0.1%
Power Play
42.1% (190)
54.6% (130)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (111)
55.6% (9)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Backes is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (907).
Backes shoots right. Brassard is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Backes
Brassard
Home
42.9% (581)
47.9% (447)
Away
46.1% (557)
45.4% (441)
By Period
Backes
Brassard
P1
40.1%
48.7%
P2
47.3%
44.3%
P3
45.1%
47.2%
OT
57.1%
36.4%
Final 5 min
40.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |