Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.0%). Look for LeBlanc on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs LeBlanc 50.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
LeBlanc 62.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 61.4%
Neutral zone
LeBlanc 53.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Backes
LeBlanc
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Backes
LeBlanc
Last 5: Backes 1-4 LeBlanc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: LeBlanc
0
2
Backes
LeBlanc
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: LeBlanc
1
2
Backes
LeBlanc
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
LeBlanc
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
43.8% (16)
+7.3%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
100.0% (2)
-49.2%
On power play, LeBlanc has a +49.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
LeBlanc shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. LeBlanc is 71.4% vs right-shot opponents (7).
By Period
Backes
LeBlanc
P1
50.1%
66.7%
P2
51.5%
42.9%
P3
50.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
LeBlanc
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Drew LeBlanc |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Drew LeBlanc |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Drew LeBlanc |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Drew LeBlanc |