Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Gambrell 46.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 64.4%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 78.4%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 55.8%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Backes
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Backes
Gambrell
Last 9: Backes 4-5 Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
0
3
Backes
Gambrell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
2
Backes
Gambrell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Gambrell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
47.4% (1,627)
+3.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
36.4% (33)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
40.4% (314)
+7.0%
On power play, Backes has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Gambrell is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Backes
Gambrell
Home
50.6% (3,936)
44.3% (994)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
48.1% (980)
By Period
Backes
Gambrell
P1
50.1%
44.3%
P2
51.5%
49.8%
P3
50.8%
44.5%
OT
42.9%
12.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |