Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gambrell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.4% vs Gambrell 44.6% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gambrell 62.9%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 59.0%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 58.7%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Backes
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Backes
Gambrell
Last 9: Backes 4-5 Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
0
3
Backes
Gambrell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
2
Backes
Gambrell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Gambrell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (123)
44.6% (500)
+10.7%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
37.5% (8)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
41.1% (129)
-4.7%
On power play, Gambrell has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Backes is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Backes shoots right. Gambrell is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Backes
Gambrell
Home
46.6% (103)
41.6% (363)
Away
57.9% (57)
46.7% (274)
By Period
Backes
Gambrell
P1
52.1%
42.2%
P2
52.0%
46.2%
P3
48.4%
43.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |