Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Lindholm 53.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 53.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 55.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 54.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Backes
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Backes
Lindholm
Last 7: Backes 3-4 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Lindholm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
2
Backes
Lindholm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Backes
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
53.8% (8,505)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
59.3% (1,734)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
48.1% (1,610)
-0.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,738).
Home / Away
Backes
Lindholm
Home
50.6% (3,936)
54.1% (5,943)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
53.6% (5,906)
By Period
Backes
Lindholm
P1
50.1%
54.1%
P2
51.5%
54.5%
P3
50.8%
53.0%
OT
42.9%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |