Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 49.3% vs Nielsen 53.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 55.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 51.2%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 58.5%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Backes
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backes
Nielsen
Last 6: Backes 3-3 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
2
Backes
Nielsen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Nielsen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (87)
54.2% (906)
-8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
63.2% (152)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
42.3% (156)
+22.0%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Backes is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Backes shoots right. Nielsen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Backes
Nielsen
Home
52.6% (19)
55.3% (608)
Away
48.1% (104)
52.3% (606)
By Period
Backes
Nielsen
P1
52.4%
54.1%
P2
55.0%
52.6%
P3
35.9%
54.0%
OT
100.0%
65.4%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2017 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |