Scouting Report
Gregory Campbell holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Campbell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 44.9% vs Campbell 51.5% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 51.3%
Defensive zone
Campbell 83.1%
Neutral zone
Campbell 61.7%
Result
Gregory Campbell favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Backes
Campbell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backes
Campbell
Last 5: Backes 4-1 Campbell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Campbell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Campbell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Campbell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Campbell
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (819)
52.1% (672)
-6.8%
Power Play
42.1% (190)
47.8% (23)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (111)
50.4% (135)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Campbell has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Campbell shoots left. Backes is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (907).
Backes shoots right. Campbell is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Backes
Campbell
Home
42.9% (581)
50.9% (446)
Away
46.1% (557)
52.6% (386)
By Period
Backes
Campbell
P1
40.1%
49.8%
P2
47.3%
53.6%
P3
45.1%
52.3%
OT
57.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
Campbell
46.0%▼
51.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2010 | OT | 03:32 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Gregory Campbell |