Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Barbashev 42.2% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 65.7%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 71.1%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 72.6%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Backes
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Backes
Barbashev
Last 8: Backes 3-5 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
1
Backes
Barbashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
3
4
Backes
Barbashev
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
42.0% (1,738)
+9.1%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
46.1% (89)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
36.7% (139)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Backes
Barbashev
Home
50.6% (3,936)
42.4% (932)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
41.3% (1,034)
By Period
Backes
Barbashev
P1
50.1%
40.7%
P2
51.5%
42.3%
P3
50.8%
42.3%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |