Scouting Report
Ivan Barbashev holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Backes wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 45.0% vs Barbashev 46.5% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 52.1%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 75.1%
Neutral zone
Backes 61.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Backes
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Backes
Barbashev
Last 6: Backes 2-4 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
1
Backes
Barbashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
3
Backes
Barbashev
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (67)
44.7% (300)
-4.4%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
71.4% (7)
-71.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.6% (21)
-47.6%
On power play, Barbashev has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Backes is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Backes shoots right. Barbashev is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Backes
Barbashev
Home
44.2% (52)
39.6% (134)
Away
21.1% (19)
49.5% (194)
By Period
Backes
Barbashev
P1
38.9%
38.3%
P2
30.8%
50.0%
P3
44.4%
49.1%
Final 5 min
41.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
38.0%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |