Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rose shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 55.3% vs Rose 44.0% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 89.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 74.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 75.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Backes
Rose
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backes
Rose
Last 6: Backes 4-2 Rose
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Rose
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Rose
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rose
0
1
Backes
Rose
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Rose
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (228)
41.6% (346)
+14.1%
Power Play
65.2% (66)
71.4% (7)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
44.4% (27)
-4.4%
On even strength, Backes has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rose shoots left. Backes is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Backes shoots right. Rose is 34.0% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Backes
Rose
Home
55.9% (188)
47.0% (217)
Away
58.7% (121)
36.2% (163)
By Period
Backes
Rose
P1
53.0%
43.3%
P2
56.6%
43.3%
P3
60.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | David Backes |