Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Dowell 48.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Dowell leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowell 70.3%
Defensive zone
Dowell 71.7%
Neutral zone
Dowell 71.5%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Backes
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Backes
Dowell
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
2
Backes
Dowell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
3
Backes
Dowell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
2
Backes
Dowell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
49.1% (759)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
38.5% (13)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
46.9% (81)
+0.5%
On power play, Backes has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Dowell is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Backes
Dowell
Home
50.6% (3,936)
51.8% (413)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
45.8% (443)
By Period
Backes
Dowell
P1
50.1%
50.4%
P2
51.5%
46.6%
P3
50.8%
49.7%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |