Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs McCann 43.0% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 71.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 92.1%
Neutral zone
Backes 87.3%
Result
David Backes favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Backes
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Backes
McCann
Last 10: Backes 7-3 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
McCann
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
McCann
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
McCann
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
43.1% (3,175)
+8.0%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
40.0% (260)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
42.2% (173)
+5.2%
On power play, Backes has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
Home / Away
Backes
McCann
Home
50.6% (3,936)
43.0% (1,757)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
42.5% (1,853)
By Period
Backes
McCann
P1
50.1%
44.3%
P2
51.5%
41.7%
P3
50.8%
42.7%
OT
42.9%
36.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 16:53 | Neutral | David Backes |