Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.2% vs McCann 40.3% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 69.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 66.4%
Neutral zone
Backes 62.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Backes
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backes
McCann
Last 5: Backes 3-2 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
2
Backes
McCann
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
McCann
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (179)
38.5% (522)
+13.5%
Power Play
55.8% (52)
52.9% (17)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
20.0% (10)
+7.3%
On even strength, Backes has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Backes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Backes shoots right. McCann is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Backes
McCann
Home
53.8% (160)
39.3% (285)
Away
47.6% (82)
37.7% (265)
By Period
Backes
McCann
P1
53.8%
42.0%
P2
58.0%
34.0%
P3
41.4%
40.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Jared McCann |