Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Stoll 56.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 83.3%
Defensive zone
Stoll 58.8%
Neutral zone
Backes 65.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Backes
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Backes
Stoll
Last 7: Backes 2-5 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Stoll
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
3
Backes
Stoll
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
2
Backes
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
57.7% (650)
-5.6%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
66.7% (15)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
53.9% (178)
-4.6%
On power play, Stoll has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Backes is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Backes shoots right. Stoll is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Backes
Stoll
Home
53.1% (573)
59.6% (421)
Away
51.1% (619)
54.5% (422)
By Period
Backes
Stoll
P1
51.8%
55.4%
P2
52.3%
55.9%
P3
52.6%
59.9%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |