Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 44.9% vs McClement 51.5% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 89.0%
Defensive zone
Backes 55.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 69.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Backes
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Backes
McClement
Last 8: Backes 1-7 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
2
Backes
McClement
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
2
Backes
McClement
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
0
3
Backes
McClement
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (819)
52.4% (802)
-7.1%
Power Play
42.1% (190)
73.9% (23)
-31.8%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (111)
47.1% (314)
-6.6%
On power play, McClement has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Backes is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (907).
Backes shoots right. McClement is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Backes
McClement
Home
42.9% (581)
57.6% (519)
Away
46.1% (557)
46.8% (633)
By Period
Backes
McClement
P1
40.1%
55.3%
P2
47.3%
51.7%
P3
45.1%
49.0%
OT
57.1%
31.6%
Final 5 min
40.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |