Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs McClement 53.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 77.7%
Defensive zone
McClement 72.9%
Neutral zone
Backes 50.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Backes
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Backes
McClement
Last 7: Backes 2-5 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
McClement
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
McClement
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
0
3
Backes
McClement
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
55.7% (927)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
75.0% (12)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
47.0% (321)
+8.5%
On power play, McClement has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Backes shoots right. McClement is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Backes
McClement
Home
53.3% (599)
55.9% (571)
Away
50.2% (602)
51.8% (689)
By Period
Backes
McClement
P1
53.5%
55.8%
P2
50.3%
52.3%
P3
51.5%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jay McClement |