Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Colborne 48.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 69.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 89.1%
Neutral zone
Backes 78.9%
Result
David Backes favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Backes
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Backes
Colborne
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
1
2
Backes
Colborne
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
9
0
Backes
Colborne
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Colborne
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
47.7% (960)
+3.4%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
52.4% (170)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
54.3% (35)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Colborne is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Backes
Colborne
Home
50.6% (3,936)
56.1% (569)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
41.4% (596)
By Period
Backes
Colborne
P1
50.1%
50.3%
P2
51.5%
48.9%
P3
50.8%
46.7%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | David Backes |