Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Colborne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Colborne 51.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 68.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 88.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 86.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Backes
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Backes
Colborne
Last 6: Backes 5-1 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
0
1
Backes
Colborne
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
0
Backes
Colborne
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Colborne
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
52.1% (284)
+2.4%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
53.8% (39)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
53.8% (13)
-2.3%
On power play, Backes has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Colborne is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Backes
Colborne
Home
55.3% (524)
60.7% (163)
Away
54.0% (606)
44.5% (173)
By Period
Backes
Colborne
P1
53.2%
59.3%
P2
54.2%
47.0%
P3
57.1%
52.4%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | David Backes |