Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.4% vs Ek 47.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 69.4%
Defensive zone
Ek 64.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 66.4%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Backes
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Backes
Ek
Last 6: Backes 1-5 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
4
Backes
Ek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (123)
47.8% (707)
+7.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
49.1% (55)
-24.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
39.0% (77)
-2.6%
On power play, Ek has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Backes is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Backes shoots right. Ek is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Backes
Ek
Home
46.6% (103)
47.1% (414)
Away
57.9% (57)
47.1% (425)
By Period
Backes
Ek
P1
52.1%
45.5%
P2
52.0%
50.2%
P3
48.4%
44.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |