Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Larsson 49.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 86.2%
Defensive zone
Backes 55.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 64.3%
Result
David Backes favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Backes
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Backes
Larsson
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
5
0
Backes
Larsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
2
Backes
Larsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
50.5% (4,382)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
47.7% (153)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
43.8% (714)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Home / Away
Backes
Larsson
Home
50.6% (3,936)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Backes
Larsson
P1
50.1%
51.6%
P2
51.5%
49.7%
P3
50.8%
47.2%
OT
42.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | David Backes |