Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.0%). Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 32-22 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 52.3%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 61.1%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 51.8%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Backes
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
22
(54 meetings)
32
22
Backes
Mitchell
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
9
8
Backes
Mitchell
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
12
8
Backes
Mitchell
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
11
6
Backes
Mitchell
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
51.8% (2,965)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
54.1% (196)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
44.1% (401)
+3.3%
On power play, Mitchell has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Home / Away
Backes
Mitchell
Home
50.6% (3,936)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Backes
Mitchell
P1
50.1%
52.0%
P2
51.5%
49.9%
P3
50.8%
50.9%
OT
42.9%
69.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 01:00 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | David Backes |