Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Mitchell 49.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 54.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 64.1%
Neutral zone
Backes 65.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Backes
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backes
Mitchell
Last 5: Backes 4-1 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Mitchell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
45.9% (231)
+8.5%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
52.2% (67)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
65.2% (46)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Backes shoots right. Mitchell is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Backes
Mitchell
Home
50.8% (447)
59.0% (134)
Away
53.8% (465)
43.8% (210)
By Period
Backes
Mitchell
P1
51.8%
48.0%
P2
53.2%
49.2%
P3
52.8%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | David Backes |