Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 73 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Toews 57.9% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 122-92 in 214 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 80.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 75.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 78.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Backes
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
92
-
122
(214 meetings)
92
122
Backes
Toews
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
19
54
Backes
Toews
73 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
34
24
Backes
Toews
58 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
39
44
Backes
Toews
83 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
57.2% (13,047)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
63.3% (3,252)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
53.6% (1,810)
-6.2%
On power play, Toews has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Backes
Toews
Home
50.6% (3,936)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Backes
Toews
P1
50.1%
58.6%
P2
51.5%
57.8%
P3
50.8%
57.3%
OT
42.9%
58.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |