Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Toews 58.6% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 89.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 56.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 72.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Backes
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
Backes
Toews
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
4
Backes
Toews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
5
3
Backes
Toews
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
7
4
Backes
Toews
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
58.5% (775)
-9.4%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
64.9% (225)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
55.8% (120)
-10.6%
On power play, Toews has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Backes shoots right. Toews is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Backes
Toews
Home
48.1% (690)
63.0% (567)
Away
49.2% (663)
55.8% (570)
By Period
Backes
Toews
P1
49.0%
59.6%
P2
50.2%
58.2%
P3
47.5%
60.7%
OT
33.3%
52.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |