Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.3%). Look for Chipchura on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Chipchura 50.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Chipchura leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Chipchura 50.5%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 56.0%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 56.6%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Backes
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Backes
Chipchura
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Backes
Chipchura
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Chipchura
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
2
6
Backes
Chipchura
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
50.9% (2,100)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
45.7% (46)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
45.0% (171)
+2.4%
On power play, Backes has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Chipchura is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Backes
Chipchura
Home
50.6% (3,936)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Backes
Chipchura
P1
50.1%
51.1%
P2
51.5%
50.3%
P3
50.8%
48.9%
OT
42.9%
78.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 02:30 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 17:37 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | David Backes |