Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 47.7%). Look for Chipchura on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Chipchura 48.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 51.6%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 53.1%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 53.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Backes
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Backes
Chipchura
Last 6: Backes 2-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
3
Backes
Chipchura
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Chipchura
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
1
Backes
Chipchura
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
47.9% (332)
+1.2%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
28.6% (7)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
47.8% (23)
-2.6%
On power play, Backes has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Backes shoots right. Chipchura is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Backes
Chipchura
Home
48.1% (690)
46.5% (159)
Away
49.2% (663)
48.5% (204)
By Period
Backes
Chipchura
P1
49.0%
50.4%
P2
50.2%
47.0%
P3
47.5%
45.2%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |