Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Chipchura 51.5% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 82.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 57.8%
Neutral zone
Backes 78.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Backes
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backes
Chipchura
Last 5: Backes 4-1 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Chipchura
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Chipchura
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Chipchura
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
52.8% (790)
+1.7%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
35.3% (17)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
45.9% (109)
+5.6%
On power play, Backes has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Chipchura is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Backes
Chipchura
Home
55.3% (524)
52.5% (465)
Away
54.0% (606)
50.8% (451)
By Period
Backes
Chipchura
P1
53.2%
53.6%
P2
54.2%
50.9%
P3
57.1%
50.0%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 17:37 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |