Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.5%). Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Eller 50.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 67.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 56.5%
Neutral zone
Backes 52.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Backes
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
Backes
Eller
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Backes
Eller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
6
Backes
Eller
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
5
Backes
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
51.1% (10,296)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
52.8% (621)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
46.7% (1,751)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Backes
Eller
Home
50.6% (3,936)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Backes
Eller
P1
50.1%
51.2%
P2
51.5%
50.1%
P3
50.8%
50.2%
OT
42.9%
56.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | David Backes |