Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Backes wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 44.9% vs Eller 43.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 55.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Backes
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backes
Eller
Last 5: Backes 2-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Backes
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (819)
43.0% (402)
+2.3%
Power Play
42.1% (190)
16.7% (12)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (111)
66.7% (6)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Backes is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (907).
Backes shoots right. Eller is 32.4% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Backes
Eller
Home
42.9% (581)
44.6% (184)
Away
46.1% (557)
40.9% (247)
By Period
Backes
Eller
P1
40.1%
45.3%
P2
47.3%
41.5%
P3
45.1%
39.9%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |