Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Eller 50.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 63.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 58.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 60.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Backes
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Backes
Eller
Last 6: Backes 2-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Backes
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Backes
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
52.9% (306)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
40.5% (37)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
45.5% (66)
+3.8%
On power play, Backes has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Eller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Backes
Eller
Home
53.1% (573)
49.7% (181)
Away
51.1% (619)
51.3% (228)
By Period
Backes
Eller
P1
51.8%
54.2%
P2
52.3%
46.5%
P3
52.6%
49.6%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | David Backes |