Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Glendening 51.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 89.3%
Defensive zone
Glendening 53.4%
Neutral zone
Backes 67.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Backes
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Backes
Glendening
Last 6: Backes 5-1 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Glendening
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Glendening
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Glendening
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
56.1% (675)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
61.1% (18)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
40.5% (269)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Backes is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Backes shoots right. Glendening is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Backes
Glendening
Home
55.3% (524)
51.6% (496)
Away
54.0% (606)
52.1% (466)
By Period
Backes
Glendening
P1
53.2%
53.0%
P2
54.2%
50.8%
P3
57.1%
51.8%
OT
44.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
60.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 08:44 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | David Backes |