Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.2% vs Glendening 57.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 74.0%
Defensive zone
Glendening 79.1%
Neutral zone
Glendening 57.2%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Backes
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Backes
Glendening
Last 8: Backes 4-4 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Glendening
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Glendening
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
2
Backes
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (179)
59.3% (508)
-7.3%
Power Play
55.8% (52)
52.9% (17)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
54.5% (154)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Backes is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Backes shoots right. Glendening is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Backes
Glendening
Home
53.8% (160)
57.4% (296)
Away
47.6% (82)
58.5% (383)
By Period
Backes
Glendening
P1
53.8%
59.1%
P2
58.0%
52.7%
P3
41.4%
62.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | David Backes |