Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backes wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 55.3% vs Glendening 55.2% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Glendening leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 76.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 71.1%
Neutral zone
Backes 53.3%
Result
David Backes favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Backes
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Backes
Glendening
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Glendening
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
2
Backes
Glendening
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
3
Backes
Glendening
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (228)
56.9% (961)
-1.2%
Power Play
65.2% (66)
53.1% (32)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
49.7% (189)
-9.7%
On power play, Backes has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Backes is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Backes shoots right. Glendening is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Backes
Glendening
Home
55.9% (188)
57.0% (588)
Away
58.7% (121)
54.4% (594)
By Period
Backes
Glendening
P1
53.0%
54.6%
P2
56.6%
56.0%
P3
60.8%
56.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |