Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.5%). Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Kruger 50.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 30-28 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 75.6%
Defensive zone
Kruger 67.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 50.3%
Result
David Backes favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Backes
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
28
(58 meetings)
30
28
Backes
Kruger
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
14
4
Backes
Kruger
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
10
13
Backes
Kruger
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
6
11
Backes
Kruger
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
52.4% (3,509)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
46.5% (99)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
42.9% (860)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Kruger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,711).
Home / Away
Backes
Kruger
Home
50.6% (3,936)
52.7% (2,242)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
48.3% (2,231)
By Period
Backes
Kruger
P1
50.1%
49.7%
P2
51.5%
49.7%
P3
50.8%
52.1%
OT
42.9%
53.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 08:44 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |