Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Kruger 52.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 87.0%
Defensive zone
Kruger 57.1%
Neutral zone
Backes 70.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Backes
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Backes
Kruger
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Kruger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Kruger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Kruger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
54.6% (509)
-0.1%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
33.3% (3)
+25.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
49.4% (158)
+2.1%
On power play, Backes has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Kruger is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Backes
Kruger
Home
55.3% (524)
53.4% (328)
Away
54.0% (606)
53.2% (342)
By Period
Backes
Kruger
P1
53.2%
55.0%
P2
54.2%
53.1%
P3
57.1%
51.0%
OT
44.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2015 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | David Backes |