Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Erat 48.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 64.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 83.9%
Neutral zone
Backes 61.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Backes
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backes
Erat
Last 6: Backes 4-2 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
2
Backes
Erat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Erat
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Erat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
46.3% (80)
+2.8%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
51.2% (41)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
40.0% (5)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Backes shoots right. Erat is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Backes
Erat
Home
48.1% (690)
60.9% (64)
Away
49.2% (663)
33.9% (62)
By Period
Backes
Erat
P1
49.0%
41.9%
P2
50.2%
47.2%
P3
47.5%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Dec 30, 2011 | OT | 03:15 | Neutral | David Backes |