Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Hendricks 53.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 57.0%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 72.3%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 59.3%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Backes
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Backes
Hendricks
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Backes
Hendricks
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Hendricks
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
3
4
Backes
Hendricks
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
55.0% (1,616)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
52.6% (38)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
48.4% (446)
-1.0%
On even strength, Hendricks has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Hendricks is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Backes
Hendricks
Home
50.6% (3,936)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Backes
Hendricks
P1
50.1%
53.2%
P2
51.5%
53.3%
P3
50.8%
53.6%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |