Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Hendricks 49.7% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 56.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 54.8%
Neutral zone
Backes 53.5%
Result
David Backes favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Backes
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backes
Hendricks
Last 6: Backes 3-3 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Hendricks
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
3
Backes
Hendricks
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
47.8% (159)
+6.7%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
100.0% (1)
-41.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
55.3% (38)
-3.8%
On power play, Hendricks has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Hendricks is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Backes
Hendricks
Home
55.3% (524)
51.1% (88)
Away
54.0% (606)
48.2% (110)
By Period
Backes
Hendricks
P1
53.2%
43.3%
P2
54.2%
53.8%
P3
57.1%
51.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |