Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Stajan 49.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 38-31 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 74.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 57.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 53.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Backes
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
31
(69 meetings)
38
31
Backes
Stajan
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
14
7
Backes
Stajan
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
8
10
Backes
Stajan
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
16
14
Backes
Stajan
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
50.2% (4,944)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
43.2% (176)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
46.1% (864)
+1.3%
On power play, Backes has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Backes
Stajan
Home
50.6% (3,936)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Backes
Stajan
P1
50.1%
50.3%
P2
51.5%
48.5%
P3
50.8%
49.4%
OT
42.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 01:16 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | David Backes |