Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Stajan 50.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 88.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 67.7%
Neutral zone
Backes 85.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Backes
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backes
Stajan
Last 5: Backes 4-1 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
51.1% (503)
+3.4%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
42.9% (7)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
46.7% (92)
+4.8%
On power play, Backes has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Stajan is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Backes
Stajan
Home
55.3% (524)
55.1% (336)
Away
54.0% (606)
44.4% (266)
By Period
Backes
Stajan
P1
53.2%
51.3%
P2
54.2%
47.7%
P3
57.1%
52.4%
Final 5 min
60.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |