Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lombardi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Lombardi 46.1% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lombardi 51.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 81.5%
Neutral zone
Backes 62.7%
Result
David Backes favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Backes
Lombardi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backes
Lombardi
Last 5: Backes 3-2 Lombardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lombardi
1
2
Backes
Lombardi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Lombardi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Lombardi
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
46.8% (203)
+7.6%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
33.3% (27)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
16.7% (6)
+23.7%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lombardi shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Backes shoots right. Lombardi is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Backes
Lombardi
Home
50.8% (447)
44.0% (109)
Away
53.8% (465)
44.9% (127)
By Period
Backes
Lombardi
P1
51.8%
47.0%
P2
53.2%
42.2%
P3
52.8%
43.5%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | David Backes |