Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.2%). Look for Peca on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Peca 50.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 51.8%
Defensive zone
Peca 50.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 50.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Backes
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backes
Peca
Last 6: Backes 3-3 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Peca
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Peca
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peca
1
3
Backes
Peca
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
51.5% (423)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
12.5% (8)
+38.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
44.2% (43)
+3.2%
On power play, Backes has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Peca is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Backes
Peca
Home
50.6% (3,936)
46.1% (193)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
53.0% (281)
By Period
Backes
Peca
P1
50.1%
56.6%
P2
51.5%
44.4%
P3
50.8%
50.3%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | David Backes |