Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Talbot 47.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 83.2%
Defensive zone
Backes 57.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 68.0%
Result
David Backes favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Backes
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Backes
Talbot
Last 8: Backes 5-3 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Talbot
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
2
Backes
Talbot
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Talbot
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
48.3% (1,738)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
49.0% (51)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
42.3% (631)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Home / Away
Backes
Talbot
Home
50.6% (3,936)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Backes
Talbot
P1
50.1%
48.7%
P2
51.5%
43.5%
P3
50.8%
48.6%
OT
42.9%
45.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | David Backes |