Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Talbot 46.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 77.2%
Defensive zone
Backes 51.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 61.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Backes
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Backes
Talbot
Last 5: Backes 3-2 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Talbot
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Talbot
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
44.9% (107)
+6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
43.6% (117)
+11.9%
On power play, Talbot has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Backes shoots right. Talbot is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Backes
Talbot
Home
53.3% (599)
45.5% (112)
Away
50.2% (602)
43.4% (113)
By Period
Backes
Talbot
P1
53.5%
42.2%
P2
50.3%
48.3%
P3
51.5%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | David Backes |