Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Lapierre 50.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 65.5%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 81.5%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 64.5%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Backes
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Backes
Lapierre
Last 9: Backes 2-7 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Lapierre
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
3
Backes
Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
3
Backes
Lapierre
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
52.9% (416)
+1.5%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
54.5% (11)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
41.7% (115)
-1.3%
On power play, Lapierre has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Backes shoots right. Lapierre is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Backes
Lapierre
Home
50.8% (447)
48.7% (277)
Away
53.8% (465)
52.5% (265)
By Period
Backes
Lapierre
P1
51.8%
56.6%
P2
53.2%
43.9%
P3
52.8%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |